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Creditors and Debtors

Current-account balance, six major economies, 2000 to today

Unit
% of GDP
Frequency
Annual
Coverage
2000–2025
Evidence Quality
High

Who lends to the world and who borrows from it — Germany and Japan in persistent surplus, the US in a durable deficit.

World Bank WDI · Current account balance (% of GDP) · BN.CAB.XOKA.GD.ZS

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Line chart, 2000 to 2025. Current-account balance (% of GDP). 6 series: United States, China, India, Germany, Japan and Brazil. United States is highlighted; its latest reading is -3.8% in 2025.

Current-account balance (% of GDP)
01

Question

Which economies lend to the world, which borrow from it — and how persistent is the split?

02

Evidence

The current account nets a country's trade and income with the rest of the world. A surplus (above zero) means it earns more abroad than it spends and accumulates claims; a deficit means the reverse. Germany and Japan sit persistently in surplus; the United States runs a persistent deficit near –3%. These are structural positions, not year-to-year noise.

03

Observation

Read level, slope and timing together.

Zero is the dividing line: above it a country is a net lender to the world, below it a net borrower — the sign matters more than the wiggle.

04

Assessment

  • Germany and Japan are the standing creditors — years of surpluses that make them net lenders to the world.
  • The US deficit is durable, not cyclical: the world's reserve issuer borrows from abroad decade after decade.
  • China's surplus narrowed from its mid-2000s extreme as domestic demand grew — a rebalancing, if a partial one.
05

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