Strategic intelligence for high-consequence decisions
Integrate our macroeconomic models and market analysis directly into your capital allocation, operational mapping, and technology policy execution.
- Executive briefingAlign leadership. Your team leaves with one shared, pressure-tested view of the macroeconomic picture and the operational limits it places on your plans.
- Strategic memoClarify the decision matrix. We set out the evidence, the economic mechanism, and the second-order geopolitical effects in a customized memo for your team.
- Scenario mappingStress-test assumptions. Facilitated sessions that map structural vulnerabilities and test the baseline dependencies of each outcome.
- Board briefingAssess institutional exposure. Closed-door sessions for directors on the principal risks and the macroeconomic shifts that would force a change of course.
We advise decision-makers
Executive teams
Leaders calibrating corporate strategy and capital allocation against shifting macroeconomic and technological realities.
Boards of directors
Fiduciaries responsible for governance, systemic risk oversight, and long-term institutional resilience.
Investors & capital allocators
Funds pricing macro volatility, AI infrastructure exposure, and geopolitical leverage into their portfolios.
Defense & policy planners
Decision-makers navigating industrial policy, defense supply chains, and sovereign execution risk.
How it works
Every engagement ends in analysis that either changes your framing or provides the evidence to strengthen your position.
Three stages, each with a written output you can circulate.
Isolate the objective
Separate market narrative from the operational choice you face, the constraints on it, and the deadline that drives it.
Construct the baseline
Map market structure, institutional capacity, and capital flows into a usable, pressure-tested strategic view.
Define the matrix
Set out scenario options, compounding risks, and leading indicators to track.
Featured research
What you get
Decision framework
A clear statement of the choice, constraint, timing problem, and assumptions that matter.Private memo
A concise assessment of the evidence, economic mechanisms, implications, and open questions.Risk map
Your exposures, their second-order effects and where they concentrate.Watch points
Specific signals to monitor as the situation moves from uncertainty toward action.
We cover the macro conditions that determine capital allocation
Capital allocation under uncertainty
Investment and balance-sheet decisions when the signals are incomplete.AI infrastructure, compute, and energy
How compute capacity, energy supply, and investment requirements shape competitive advantage.Industrial policy and strategic competition
How states and firms compete for durable advantage.Market structure and execution risk
How market rules and execution barriers affect a strategy’s viability.State capacity and institutional bottlenecks
How permitting and coordination constraints limit delivery.Risk signals, resilience, and watch points
Indicators of rising risk and its implications for financing costs.
Brendan Hart
economist and entrepreneur
FounderBrendan Hart is an economist and entrepreneur who studies how economic power is created, compounded, and constrained. He has spent two decades building teams and organizations across industry and government.
As publisher of The Power Curve, Hart analyzes strategic competition, economic infrastructure, and institutional resilience for leaders who run organizations, develop policy, and allocate capital. His work combines an economist’s discipline about incentives and constraints with an operator’s experience founding ventures in defense, technology, and workforce development.
Hart served as a team leader in the U.S. Marine Corps Fleet Anti-Terrorism Security Team before co-founding BMNT, a defense innovation accelerator that created a commercial bridge between Silicon Valley and Washington. BMNT helped emerging technology companies win government funding, including companies later acquired by Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. He also co-founded Student Veterans of America, which has served more than 750,000 members across 1,500 chapters since founding and helped secure the passage and implementation of the Post-9/11 GI Bill.
Hart participates in global forums such as the Milken Institute Global Conference and the Aspen Security Forum. He was a Senior Fellow at the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress and a member of the Aspen Institute’s Society of Fellows. His work has been featured by ABC News, USA Today, The Boston Globe, and U.S. News & World Report.
Hart holds degrees from Dartmouth College and the University of Virginia Darden School of Business.
Discuss your decision
Send the decision context, the timing, the audience, and the question the work needs to resolve.