Independent research for strategic decisions
Apply the research behind Power Curve reports and memos to your capital allocation, market-entry, technology, and policy decisions.
Each engagement begins with the decision and the evidence standard required to support it. The output is a sharper view of what is happening, what matters, and what would prove the judgment wrong.
- Executive briefingThe room leaves with one shared, pressure-tested read on the situation.
- Strategic memoThe decision is clarified in writing, with evidence and implications stated plainly.
- Scenario workshopAssumptions are tested, scenarios are mapped, and the range of outcomes is clearer.
- Board sessionDirectors leave with tighter framing on the risk and the conditions that would change it.
Who we partner with
Executive teams
Leaders assessing how economic and technological change affects strategy and capital allocation.
Boards
Directors responsible for governance, risk, capital allocation, and institutional direction.
Investors and strategy teams
Teams pricing macro pressure, AI exposure, market structure, technology risk, and geopolitical leverage.
Policy and security leaders
Decision-makers navigating industrial policy, defense production, strategic competition, and execution risk.
How it works
Useful analysis clarifies the decision, tests its assumptions, and identifies what would change the recommendation.
Each engagement defines the decision, assembles the evidence, tests the explanation, and identifies what would change the assessment.
Define the decision that matters
Separate the public story from the choice, constraint, and timing problem that should drive action.
Build and pressure-test the case
Organize market structure, institutional capacity, capital flows, and strategic context into a usable view.
Assess the options and implications
Translate the evidence into options, risks, watch points, and the conditions that would change the recommendation.
Featured Research
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What you get
Decision framework
A clear statement of the choice, constraint, timing problem, and assumptions that matter.Private memo
A concise assessment of the evidence, economic mechanisms, implications, and open questions.Risk map
A structured view of exposures, second-order effects, and conditions that would change the recommendation.Watch points
Specific signals to monitor as the situation moves from uncertainty toward action.
Where we focus
Capital allocation under uncertainty
Investment and balance-sheet decisions when the signals are incomplete.AI infrastructure, compute, and energy
How compute capacity, energy supply, and investment requirements shape competitive advantage.Industrial policy and strategic competition
How states and firms compete for durable advantage.Market structure and execution risk
How market rules and execution barriers affect a strategy’s viability.State capacity and institutional bottlenecks
How permitting and coordination constraints limit delivery.Risk signals, resilience, and watch points
Indicators of rising risk and its implications for financing costs.
Brendan Hart
economist and entrepreneur
FounderBrendan Hart is an economist and entrepreneur who studies how economic power is created, compounded, and constrained. He has spent two decades building teams and organizations across industry and government.
As publisher of The Power Curve, Hart analyzes strategic competition, economic infrastructure, and institutional resilience for leaders who run organizations, develop policy, and allocate capital. His work combines an economist’s discipline about incentives and constraints with an operator’s experience founding ventures in defense, technology, and workforce development.
Hart served as a team leader in the U.S. Marine Corps Fleet Anti-Terrorism Security Team before co-founding BMNT, a defense innovation accelerator that created a commercial bridge between Silicon Valley and Washington. BMNT helped emerging technology companies win government funding, including companies later acquired by Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. He also co-founded Student Veterans of America, which has served more than 750,000 members across 1,500 chapters since founding and helped secure the passage and implementation of the Post-9/11 GI Bill.
Hart participates in global forums such as the Milken Institute Global Conference and the Aspen Security Forum. He was a Senior Fellow at the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress and a member of the Aspen Institute’s Society of Fellows. His work has been featured by ABC News, USA Today, The Boston Globe, and U.S. News & World Report.
Hart holds degrees from Dartmouth College and the University of Virginia Darden School of Business.
Discuss your decision
Send the decision context, the timing, the audience, and the question the work needs to resolve.