The Power Curve
Economic intelligence for a competitive world.
The Power Curve analyzes how strategic capabilities are developed, concentrated, contested, and redistributed across markets, politics, investing, and technology.
Flagship Research
The Power Curve 2026 Outlook
The 2026 Outlook maps the forces reshaping economic power, technological capability, and geopolitical advantage in the year ahead. PDF download will appear here when the final file is available.
- Capital expenditure is becoming strategic terrain.
- Compute and energy are now core constraints on power.
- Institutional execution increasingly separates ambition from capability.
- Cities, infrastructure, and supply chains are becoming arenas of competition.
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- Exhibits
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- Implications
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Decision-grade analysis on the economic and institutional systems that shape durable advantage.
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Research Streams
Six themes for understanding power, capability, and structural advantage.
Together, they provide a framework for understanding how capability is built, constrained, protected, and sustained.
Strategic Competition
How states, firms, and institutions compete through technology, industrial capacity, alliances, statecraft, and economic leverage.
Explore 02Advanced Technology
AI, compute, frontier infrastructure, data, productivity, and the systems that convert invention into capability.
Explore 03Capital Markets
Capital allocation, investment cycles, financial systems, rates, liquidity, fiscal pressure, and market structure.
Explore 04State Capacity
Governance, execution, legitimacy, regulation, procurement, coordination, public capability, and institutional trust.
Explore 05Cities & Infrastructure
Urban systems, energy, logistics, housing, resilience, and the physical geography of growth.
Explore 06Risk & Resilience
How leaders understand uncertainty as risk, make choices under incomplete information, and build resilience before shocks arrive.
ExploreTechnological Statecraft
Infrastructure is becoming a source of strategic power.
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Analytical support for decisions shaped by power, markets, technology, and institutional risk.
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Receive analysis on the forces reshaping economic and strategic power, capital markets, state capacity, cities, and risk.