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before it becomes
consensus
An independent economic-intelligence publication. Reports, memos, essays, and data on how economic power is built, constrained, and redistributed.
- Independent
No agenda. No affiliations. Only evidence.
- Actionable
Timely insights that cut through the noise.
- Rigorous
Original research grounded in data and experience.
- Built together
Engage with experts and peers in trusted conversations.
Featured report
The Power Curve 2026 Outlook
2026 is the year of capability concentration, institutional drift, and the multi-pole order.
Read reportExhibit
R&D intensity at the frontier
Gross domestic R&D expenditure (% of GDP)
Research themes
View all themes Explore our core lenses on economic power.
- Advanced TechnologyCompute, chips, AI, and frontier capacity.
- Capital MarketsLiquidity, risk, allocation, and leverage.
- Cities and InfrastructureHousing, transport, energy, and innovation.
- Risk and ResilienceShocks, bottlenecks, redundancy, and exposure.
- State CapacityPermitting, procurement, delivery, and trust.
- Strategic CompetitionPower, standards, supply chains, and deterrence.
The Index / Data Room
The advanced intelligence layer
Proprietary datasets, indicators, and dashboards that power our research—and yours.
Explore the indexUS GDP Growth
+2.2%-0.6
US Government Effectiveness
1.44as of 2023
World Trade Intensity
68.5%+11.8
US Political Stability
0.14as of 2023
- CAPITAL MARKETSJUN 30, 2026The Capital Layer of Deterrence
- CAPITAL MARKETSJUN 20, 2026Depth, Speed, Duration
- RISK AND RESILIENCEJUN 5, 2026The Two Energy Superpowers
- STRATEGIC COMPETITIONJUN 2, 2026Compound Learning and Decision Advantage
- RISK AND RESILIENCEJUN 1, 2026Uninsurable Map
- CAPITAL MARKETSMAY 15, 2026China's Magnet Monopoly
- CAPITAL MARKETSMAY 1, 2026Betting on the Index
- CAPITAL MARKETSAPR 13, 2026The Interest State