Loading the library … Fetching every published report, memo, and essay.
Loading the library … Fetching every published report, memo, and essay.
Search every report, memo, and essay by theme, format, date, or relevance—the full library behind the analysis.
Search across 477 publications

Currency intervention moves a price. It does not replace the market mechanism. The yen is now the clearest live test of that distinction, and the outcome matters for how every government defends a currency it does not fully control.

The agreement could support Saudi industrial development, strengthen the U.S. nuclear sector, and prevent China or Russia from becoming Riyadh’s principal nuclear partner.

The July breach separated corporate control of a model from operational control of its behavior, and moved the American AI question from the frontier to the deployment layer.

Prime contractors are acquiring options on the future industrial base with a rounding error of capital, and the sequence rather than the sum is what should concern policymakers.

The real question is which company can turn capital expenditure into a self-reinforcing system of lower computing costs, stronger models, broader distribution, higher utilization, and recurring revenue.

Winning, Losing, and Competing in the 21st Century

The report gets the facts right, but draws the wrong conclusions.

Washington has made financial sanctions the center of its statecraft. In 2026 each use imposed real pain and quietly moved the world closer to the day it can route around the dollar that gives sanctions their force.

Proving that the folder no longer gates publication in status mode.

A war premium in energy and a capital boom in artificial intelligence are splitting the world economy into two circuits that one interest rate cannot govern.

Echelon's July survey priced two majorities, and both collapsed.

The Fed held rates in June, quietly adjusting its easing preference.