The front door to economic intelligence
The Power Curve provides independent, rigorous analysis at the intersection of geopolitics, technology, and markets. We exist to give the people setting strategy a clearer view of the forces that will decide it.
Mapping economic power
The Power Curve studies the systems that turn resources into durable advantage. The work runs across six research areas, each tracking where capability is built, where it binds, and where it moves next.
Technology becomes strategic when compute, energy, supply chains, and institutional capacity compound into durable advantage.
View researchCapital marketsCapital markets determine which strategies survive contact with funding costs, liquidity stress, risk premia, and the price of time.
View researchCities and infrastructureCities and infrastructure reveal whether ambition can become physical capacity through housing, transport, energy, permitting, and execution.
View researchRisk and resilienceRisk and resilience now shape economic power through insurance, energy security, chokepoints, redundancy, and operational stress.
View researchState capacityState capacity measures the distance between policy intent and real delivery across finance, procurement, permitting, and execution.
View researchStrategic competitionStrategic competition is fought through capital, technology, logistics, energy, and the institutions that coordinate them.
View researchWhat we believe
The most significant economic and political shifts often take shape while attention is fixed elsewhere. Capital reallocates, technology diffuses, institutions gain or lose the capacity to act, and power accumulates in places the headlines have not yet reached. The Power Curve exists to make those movements legible before they harden into consensus.
The work treats economies, markets, technologies, and cities as complex adaptive systems, where advantage is built and lost through mechanisms rather than events. The questions stay consistent across every piece: where capability is concentrating, which constraints are becoming binding, who can convert resources into operating capacity, and where risk is being mispriced.
That lens runs through everything the publication produces, from long-form reports and strategic memos to briefings and data notes. The goal is a clearer frame for the judgments leaders have to make while the evidence is still incomplete, and a sharper read on where power is moving next.
The consensus still treats compute, capital, and capability as three separate stories. They are one story, and institutions that understand this first will set the terms for everyone who understands it later.
Brendan Hart
Economist, entrepreneur, and professorBrendan Hart is an economist, entrepreneur, and executive advisor with two decades of experience building organizations and leading transformation across technology, defense, human capital, and government.
Through his writing, teaching, and advisory work, Hart provides economic intelligence for leaders who need to understand how markets, institutions, technology, and capital shape economic power.
Hart began his career as a team leader in the United States Marine Corps' premier antiterrorism unit. He holds degrees from Dartmouth College and the University of Virginia Darden School of Business.