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The Defense Burden

Military expenditure as a share of GDP, six major economies, 2000 to today

Unit
% of GDP
Frequency
Annual
Coverage
2000–2025
Evidence Quality
High

Military spending as a share of GDP — the US carrying the heaviest burden, and Germany and Japan rearming after 2022.

World Bank WDI · Military expenditure (% of GDP) · MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS

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Line chart, 2000 to 2025. Military expenditure (% of GDP). 6 series: United States, China, India, Germany, Japan and Brazil. United States is highlighted; its latest reading is 3.1% in 2025. Marked: 9/11, 2001; Russia invades Ukraine, 2022.

Military expenditure (% of GDP)
01

Question

How heavily does each economy tax itself to field a military — and who is rearming?

02

Evidence

Military spending as a share of GDP is the price a country pays, out of its own output, to sustain armed force. The United States carries by far the heaviest burden of the six — above 3% throughout, peaking near 5% during the Iraq and Afghanistan surge — while China holds a steady ~1.7–2%. But a modest share of a vast economy is still enormous in dollars: China is the world's second-largest military spender. The story of the 2020s is European and Japanese rearmament after 2022.

03

Observation

Read level, slope and timing together.

This is a share of GDP, not a dollar figure: China's low ratio still buys the world's #2 defense budget, because the denominator is so large.

04

Assessment

  • The US burden is structural — it spends a larger share of a larger economy than any peer here, decade after decade.
  • China's share looks flat, but on a GDP that multiplied several times over, so absolute spending soared even as the ratio held.
  • Germany and Japan turn upward after 2022 — the clearest break in the series, as both abandon decades of restraint.
05

Advantage