Research area

Strategic Competition

Strategic competition is fought through capital, technology, logistics, energy, and the institutions that coordinate them.

Power layer · System in view

Standards, supply chains, deterrence, industrial capacity, capital access, and coalition structure.

Competition is now fought through the systems that determine who can sustain advantage, not only through formal geopolitical events.

What this theme watches
  1. Who controls the standard
  2. Where supply chains become leverage
  3. Which advantages prove durable under stress
Memo

Diffusion and Control

The July breach separated corporate control of a model from operational control of its behavior, and moved the American AI question from the frontier to the deployment layer.

Read
Essay

The Arsenal as Portfolio

Prime contractors are acquiring options on the future industrial base with a rounding error of capital, and the sequence rather than the sum is what should concern policymakers.

Read
Publication record

All work in Strategic Competition

Reports and memos ranked by publication date with content type, access, and read-time context.

02
Memo

Diffusion and Control

The July breach separated corporate control of a model from operational control of its behavior, and moved the American AI question from the frontier to the deployment layer.

Date
Jul 28, 2026
Access
Free
Read
15 min
03
Essay

The Arsenal as Portfolio

Prime contractors are acquiring options on the future industrial base with a rounding error of capital, and the sequence rather than the sum is what should concern policymakers.

Date
Jul 27, 2026
Access
Free
Read
13 min
04
Essay

The AI Arms Race Is Becoming a Contest for Industrial Power

The real question is which company can turn capital expenditure into a self-reinforcing system of lower computing costs, stronger models, broader distribution, higher utilization, and recurring revenue.

Date
Jul 23, 2026
Access
Free
Read
8 min
05
Report

The Arithmetic of Power

Winning, Losing, and Competing in the 21st Century

Date
Jul 23, 2026
Access
Free
Read
15 min

Showing 5 of 35

Latest update in this area: The Saudi Nuclear Deal Tests the Value of American Influence.