Author

Brendan Hart

Brendan Hart is an economist, entrepreneur, and executive advisor with two decades of experience building organizations and leading transformation across technology, defense, human capital, and government. USMC. Dartmouth. UVA-Darden.

TitleTypeDateAccess

The Depreciating Weapon

Washington has made financial sanctions the center of its statecraft. In 2026 each use imposed real pain and quietly moved the world closer to the day it can route around the dollar that gives sanctions their force.

MemoStrategic CompetitionJul 22, 2026Free

The Crosscurrent

A war premium in energy and a capital boom in artificial intelligence are splitting the world economy into two circuits that one interest rate cannot govern.

MemoCities and InfrastructureJul 17, 2026Free

Cheap Majorities

Echelon's July survey priced two majorities, and both collapsed.

MemoState CapacityJul 17, 2026Free

The Fed's Rate Swing

The Fed held rates in June, quietly adjusting its easing preference.

Capital MarketsCapital MarketsJul 16, 2026Free

Tax on the Future

How the Trump administration will handle semiconductors

MemoAdvanced TechnologyJul 13, 2026Free

A Nation Richer Than It Feels

Americans have never been richer, healthier, or longer-lived. They have rarely felt worse about it.

MemoState CapacityJul 1, 2026Free

The Capital Layer of Deterrence

The proposed Defense, Security and Resilience Bank shows how sovereign guarantees, capital markets, and industrial capacity are becoming the connective tissue of allied security.

ReportCapital MarketsJun 30, 2026Free

Regime Change, Quietly

Kevin Warsh was installed to cut interest rates, but his first month at the Federal Reserve signaled something larger, and more disciplined.

MemoCapital MarketsJun 24, 2026Free

Depth, Speed, Duration

Three shocks, three mechanisms, and why the next downturn will be measured against the wrong yardstick.

ReportCapital MarketsJun 20, 2026Free

Compound Learning and Decision Advantage

Strategic competition with China is a contest of institutional learning rates, not just a clash of platforms and inventories.

ReportStrategic CompetitionJun 2, 2026Free

The New York Premium

A city moving more, growing safer, and becoming more expensive at the same time.

MemoCities and InfrastructureJun 1, 2026Free

The Power Curve 2026 Outlook

2026 is the year of capability concentration, institutional drift, and the multi-pole order.

ReportState CapacityJun 1, 2026Free

Uninsurable Map

Climate risk is moving from weather maps to balance sheets.

ReportRisk and ResilienceJun 1, 2026Free

AI for Enterprise

Anthropic and OpenAI announce joint ventures with leading investors

AIAdvanced TechnologyMay 5, 2026Free

Betting on the Index

Passive flows have built the most concentrated S&P 500 on record.

ReportCapital MarketsMay 1, 2026Free

Asymmetric Alliance

Hard break in the special relationship

MemoStrategic CompetitionApr 27, 2026Free

Capital is King

Analyzing three decades of foreign direct investment

MemoCapital MarketsApr 23, 2026Free

Warsh Over Time

Notable speeches from the presumptive Fed Chair

MemoCapital MarketsApr 21, 2026Free